Scout.com: Big 12 Finds 12-teams, title game are Best for Playoff Chances
12 is greater than 10, at least according to the Big 12. Â Before you start snickering, this is real news, and important news. Â The Big 12 Conference took a necessary, and possibly veryÂ influentialÂ step, by hiring outside analytics firm Navigate Research to study the impact of expansion on the conferences College Football Playoff odds.
What they found was that a Big 12 team was 4-5% more likely to make it to the Final Four if they played an 8-game conference schedule with a conference title game. Â Both would necessitate expanding to 12 teams and moving away from the round-robin format that has given then Big 12 “One-True Champion”.
Some have already derided this analysis based on the fact that there are just two data points to work with, the two years of playoff results to study. That isn’t the way to view it.Â â€œYou name a scenario, they modeled it,â€ Bowlsby said of Navigate.Â â€œThey ran 40,000 simulations.â€ …